African gas and LNG report for 2025/2026

Summary

The years 2025 and 2026 mark a Decisive Decade milestone for African gas. As of 2025, Africa's gross natural gas production is led by the continent's three dominant producers: Algeria, Nigeria, and Egypt. Key highlights include the successful commercialization of the Greater Tortue Ahmeyim (GTA) project in West Africa and the critical restart of Mozambique LNG operations in late 2025.
Domestic demand is rising (projected 60% growth by 2050 to ~90 bcm), driven by gas-to-power ambitions, but LNG exports dipped in 2025 due to maintenance and domestic deman pressures in North Africa. North Africa currently produces two-thirds of the continent's gas, but the African Energy Chamber's State of African Energy 2026 Outlook projects this share falling to 40% by 2035. It is estimated that Sub-Saharan LNG supply could quadruple by 2050 as North Africa’s share falls from ~66% to 40%.